GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 4/4/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Inter Miami · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Lowconfidence

Inter Miami are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Austin are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Inter Miami hold a 29.4-point power-rating edge (66.6 v 37.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.0% in the Major League Soccer, while Inter Miami holds the strongest overall chance at 80% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Inter Miami

Probability

79.6%

Model confidence

9.0%

Inter Miami has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Inter MiamiWDWWW

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
AustinDLLWD

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Inter MiamiAustin
83.3Attack40.7
40.7Defence33.3
70.4Form31.5
66.6Power37.2
3.92xG1.22
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