Inter Miamivs
Austin
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 4/4/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Inter Miami · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Inter Miami are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Austin are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Inter Miami hold a 29.4-point power-rating edge (66.6 v 37.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.0% in the Major League Soccer, while Inter Miami holds the strongest overall chance at 80% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Inter Miami
Probability
79.6%
Model confidence
9.0%
Inter Miami has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40