GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 2/4/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Instituto Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Instituto Res. are 0W-5D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Tigre Res. are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Instituto Res. hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (48.5 v 40.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 21.5% in the Reserve League, while Instituto Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Instituto Res.

Probability

45.8%

Model confidence

21.5%

Instituto Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Instituto Res.DDDDD

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 0/5
Tigre Res.LWDDL

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Instituto Res.Tigre Res.
34.8Attack27.3
62.1Defence54.5
40.9Form30.3
48.5Power40.2
1.04xG0.55
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