Instituto Res.vs
Gimnasia La Plata Res.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Reserve League · 7/23/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Instituto Res. are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Gimnasia La Plata Res. are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDD), averaging 0.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Gimnasia La Plata Res. hold a 2.9-point power-rating edge (48.5 v 51.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.5% in the Reserve League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
42.5%
Model confidence
42.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.20/0.80