GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 3/17/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Instituto Res. are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Banfield Res. are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Instituto Res. hold a 2.4-point power-rating edge (48.5 v 46.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.4% in the Reserve League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 14% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

41.4%

Model confidence

41.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Instituto Res.LDDWD

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Banfield Res.DLDLL

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Instituto Res.Banfield Res.
34.8Attack24.2
62.1Defence65.2
40.9Form40.9
48.5Power46.1
0.78xG0.51
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