Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Institute · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Institute are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Loughgall are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Institute hold a 5.3-point power-rating edge (59.9 v 54.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.6% in the Championship, while Institute holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Institute
Probability
40.4%
Model confidence
14.6%
Institute has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60