GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One Cup · 4/25/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Indy Eleven · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Indy Eleven are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Union Omaha are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Indy Eleven hold a 5.3-point power-rating edge (51.6 v 46.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.1% in the USL League One Cup, while Indy Eleven holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Indy Eleven

Probability

41.1%

Model confidence

41.1%

Indy Eleven has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Indy ElevenDWDDW

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Union OmahaLWWWW

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Indy ElevenUnion Omaha
41.7Attack83.3
66.7Defence0.0
41.7Form50.0
51.6Power46.3
1.82xG1.42
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