GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 2/20/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Indy Eleven · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Indy Eleven are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while St. Louis City II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Indy Eleven hold a 20.8-point power-rating edge (36.2 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Indy Eleven holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Indy Eleven

Probability

41.3%

Model confidence

41.3%

Indy Eleven has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Indy ElevenDLDLW

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
St. Louis City IILWLDW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Indy ElevenSt. Louis City II
55.6Attack33.3
22.2Defence0.0
33.3Form0.0
36.2Power15.3
2.15xG1.63
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