GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 5/9/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Indy Eleven · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Indy Eleven are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Sporting JAX are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Indy Eleven hold a 23.9-point power-rating edge (49.1 v 25.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.8% in the USL Championship, while Indy Eleven holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Indy Eleven

Probability

62.8%

Model confidence

62.8%

Indy Eleven has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Indy ElevenLLDWD

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Sporting JAXLLLLL

GF 0 · GA 8 · avg 0.00/1.60

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Indy ElevenSporting JAX
39.2Attack40.4
58.8Defence10.5
43.1Form14.0
49.1Power25.1
2.12xG0.85
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