Indy Elevenvs
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 4/4/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Indy Eleven are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Pittsburgh Riverhounds are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Pittsburgh Riverhounds hold a 2.2-point power-rating edge (50.9 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.2% in the USL Championship, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
41.2%
Model confidence
41.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20