Indy ElevenvsLoudoun United

Indy Eleven are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Loudoun United are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Indy Eleven hold a 9.2-point power-rating edge (50.9 v 41.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.8% in the USL Championship, while Indy Eleven holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.