Indy Elevenvs
Hartford Athletic
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 8/9/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Indy Eleven are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Hartford Athletic are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and indy Eleven hold a 3.4-point power-rating edge (49.2 v 45.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely result in the USL Championship, favouring a draw with 25.9% confidence, a 26% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.4%
Model confidence
25.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20