Indy Elevenvs
Chicago Fire
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 2/13/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chicago Fire · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Indy Eleven are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Chicago Fire are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Chicago Fire hold a 34.6-point power-rating edge (36.2 v 70.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Chicago Fire holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Chicago Fire
Probability
53.8%
Model confidence
53.8%
Chicago Fire has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40