GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 7/4/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Charleston Battery · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Indy Eleven are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Charleston Battery are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Charleston Battery hold a 10.5-point power-rating edge (49.1 v 59.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.8% in the USL Championship, while Charleston Battery holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Charleston Battery

Probability

45.8%

Model confidence

45.8%

Charleston Battery has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Indy ElevenDLWWW

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Charleston BatteryWWWDD

GF 16 · GA 6 · avg 3.20/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Indy ElevenCharleston Battery
39.2Attack66.7
58.8Defence57.9
43.1Form57.9
49.1Power59.5
1.03xG1.55
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