GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 5/2/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Porto Velho · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Independência are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Porto Velho are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Porto Velho hold an 11.1-point power-rating edge (52.8 v 63.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.3% in the Serie D, while Porto Velho holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Porto Velho

Probability

45.3%

Model confidence

45.3%

Porto Velho has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

IndependênciaDLWLL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Porto VelhoLLWWL

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
IndependênciaPorto Velho
50.0Attack88.1
63.9Defence69.0
44.4Form54.8
52.8Power63.9
0.96xG1.48
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