IndependênciavsGalvez

Independência are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Galvez are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Independência hold a 24.0-point power-rating edge (52.8 v 28.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.5% in the Serie D, while Independência holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.