GGOALVIO

Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 3/10/2026, 10:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Independiente · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Independiente are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Union Santa Fe are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente hold a 3.3-point power-rating edge (52.7 v 49.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.3% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while Independiente holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Independiente

Probability

42.2%

Model confidence

14.3%

Independiente has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

IndependienteWDLWW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Union Santa FeWWWDL

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
IndependienteUnion Santa Fe
44.4Attack47.0
60.3Defence54.5
47.6Form42.4
52.7Power49.5
1.32xG1.02
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