GGOALVIO

Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 4/4/2026, 8:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Independiente are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Racing Club are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente hold a 3.4-point power-rating edge (52.7 v 49.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.7% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.7%

Model confidence

39.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

IndependienteWLLDW

GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Racing ClubWWWDW

GF 8 · GA 1 · avg 1.60/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
IndependienteRacing Club
44.4Attack34.8
60.3Defence65.2
47.6Form42.4
52.7Power49.3
1.01xG0.75
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