Independientevs
Platense
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 8/9/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Independiente · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Independiente are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Platense are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and independiente hold a 10.6-point power-rating edge (52.7 v 42.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely result in the Liga Profesional Argentina, favouring Independiente with 21.2% confidence, a 28% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Independiente
Probability
50.7%
Model confidence
21.2%
Independiente has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00