GGOALVIO

Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 7/31/2026, 12:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Independiente · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Independiente are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Newells Old Boys are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente hold a 13.6-point power-rating edge (52.7 v 39.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.9% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while Independiente holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Independiente

Probability

55.9%

Model confidence

55.9%

Independiente has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

IndependienteWWLWL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Newells Old BoysWDDWD

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
IndependienteNewells Old Boys
44.4Attack31.7
60.3Defence46.7
47.6Form31.7
52.7Power39.1
1.60xG0.67
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