IndependientevsDefensa Y Justicia

Independiente are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Defensa Y Justicia are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente hold a 5.3-point power-rating edge (52.7 v 47.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.1% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while Independiente holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.