GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 8/13/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Independiente Riva. Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Independiente Riva. Res. are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Ferro 2 are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 46.0 against 46.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.2% in the Reserve League, while Independiente Riva. Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Independiente Riva. Res.

Probability

38.4%

Model confidence

15.2%

Independiente Riva. Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Independiente Riva. Res.LLLLW

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Ferro 2LDWDL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Independiente Riva. Res.Ferro 2
39.7Attack36.5
55.6Defence57.1
38.1Form41.3
46.0Power46.5
1.09xG0.89
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