Independiente Res.vs
San Martín San Juan Res.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Reserve League · 8/5/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Independiente Res. · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 4-0
Independiente Res. are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while San Martín San Juan Res. are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente Res. hold a 52.1-point power-rating edge (69.4 v 17.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.5% in the Reserve League, while Independiente Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 94% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Independiente Res.
Probability
93.6%
Model confidence
17.5%
Independiente Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40
GF 2 · GA 13 · avg 0.40/2.60