GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 3/26/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Independiente Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Independiente Res. are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Quilmes 2 are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente Res. hold an 8.8-point power-rating edge (69.4 v 60.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.2% in the Reserve League, while Independiente Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Independiente Res.

Probability

41.2%

Model confidence

41.2%

Independiente Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Independiente Res.LWWWL

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Quilmes 2WLWDW

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Independiente Res.Quilmes 2
76.8Attack36.4
69.6Defence78.8
69.6Form62.1
69.4Power60.6
1.19xG0.59
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