GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 7/16/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Independiente Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Independiente Res. are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Deportivo Riestra Res. are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente Res. hold a 15.0-point power-rating edge (69.4 v 54.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.6% in the Reserve League, while Independiente Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Independiente Res.

Probability

45.6%

Model confidence

45.6%

Independiente Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Independiente Res.LWWWD

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Deportivo Riestra Res.DWLLL

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Independiente Res.Deportivo Riestra Res.
76.8Attack45.5
69.6Defence68.2
69.6Form48.5
69.4Power54.4
1.58xG0.72
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