Bolivia · Primera División · 8/16/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Independiente Petrolero · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Independiente Petrolero are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Gualberto Villarroel SJ are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente Petrolero hold an 8.8-point power-rating edge (50.1 v 41.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.3% in the Primera División, while Independiente Petrolero holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Independiente Petrolero
Probability
52.8%
Model confidence
13.3%
Independiente Petrolero has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80