GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/5/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Caracas FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Independiente Petrolero are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Caracas FC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Caracas FC hold a 21.9-point power-rating edge (20.6 v 42.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.7% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Caracas FC holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Caracas FC

Probability

40.7%

Model confidence

40.7%

Caracas FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Independiente PetroleroDLWWL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Caracas FCDWDWL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Independiente PetroleroCaracas FC
14.3Attack33.3
28.6Defence48.1
4.8Form37.0
20.6Power42.5
0.93xG1.28
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