Independiente Petrolerovs
Botafogo
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/21/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Botafogo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Independiente Petrolero are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Botafogo are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Botafogo hold a 45.8-point power-rating edge (20.6 v 66.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.1% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Botafogo holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Botafogo
Probability
70.1%
Model confidence
70.1%
Botafogo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40