GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/21/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Botafogo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Independiente Petrolero are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Botafogo are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Botafogo hold a 45.8-point power-rating edge (20.6 v 66.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.1% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Botafogo holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Botafogo

Probability

70.1%

Model confidence

70.1%

Botafogo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Independiente PetroleroWDLDL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
BotafogoWLDWL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Independiente PetroleroBotafogo
14.3Attack76.2
28.6Defence47.6
4.8Form76.2
20.6Power66.3
0.85xG2.54
View match centre →