GGOALVIO

Bolivia · Primera División · 8/4/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Aurora · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Independiente Petrolero are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Aurora are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Aurora hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (50.1 v 55.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.0% in the Primera División, while Aurora holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Aurora

Probability

37.0%

Model confidence

37.0%

Aurora has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Independiente PetroleroWLLLL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
AuroraDWDLW

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Independiente PetroleroAurora
50.0Attack54.8
50.0Defence54.8
45.2Form52.4
50.1Power55.9
1.44xG1.54
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