GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Libertadores · 2/25/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Independiente Medellin are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Liverpool Montevideo are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 10 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente Medellin hold a 13.0-point power-rating edge (49.5 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.2% in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

37.2%

Model confidence

37.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Independiente MedellinDWDWL

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Liverpool MontevideoDLLWL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Independiente MedellinLiverpool Montevideo
36.7Attack16.7
53.3Defence66.7
50.0Form16.7
49.5Power36.5
1.05xG0.98
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