Independiente Medellinvs
La Equidad
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 2/7/2026, 1:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Independiente Medellin · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Independiente Medellin are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while La Equidad are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente Medellin hold a 10.5-point power-rating edge (55.9 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.6% in the Primera A, while Independiente Medellin holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Independiente Medellin
Probability
53.6%
Model confidence
53.6%
Independiente Medellin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20