Independiente MedellinvsDeportes Tolima

Independiente Medellin are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Deportes Tolima are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportes Tolima hold a 2.9-point power-rating edge (55.9 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.8% in the Primera A, while Deportes Tolima holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.