GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 4/11/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Independiente FSJ are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Sao Jose are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 50.2 against 50.6. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.4% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 10% BTTS chance and 4% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

63.4%

Model confidence

63.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Independiente FSJDLLWL

GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Sao JoseLLDDW

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Independiente FSJSao Jose
11.1Attack23.5
86.1Defence74.5
44.4Form45.1
50.2Power50.6
0.40xG0.32
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