GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 5/24/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Independiente FSJ are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Brasil DE Pelotas are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente FSJ hold a 6.9-point power-rating edge (50.2 v 43.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.9% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 16% BTTS chance and 8% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

47.2%

Model confidence

36.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Independiente FSJLDWWL

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Brasil DE PelotasDLLDW

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Independiente FSJBrasil DE Pelotas
11.1Attack30.0
86.1Defence60.0
44.4Form33.3
50.2Power43.3
0.63xG0.39
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