GGOALVIO

Paraguay · Division Intermedia · 7/13/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Independiente F.b.c. · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Independiente F.b.c. are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Tacuary are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente F.b.c. hold a 6.2-point power-rating edge (50.1 v 43.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.7% in the Division Intermedia, while Independiente F.b.c. holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Independiente F.b.c.

Probability

46.7%

Model confidence

46.7%

Independiente F.b.c. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Independiente F.b.c.DLWLW

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
TacuaryWWLDD

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Independiente F.b.c.Tacuary
48.1Attack40.7
53.7Defence50.0
42.6Form33.3
50.1Power43.9
1.57xG1.01
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