GGOALVIO

Paraguay · Division Intermedia · 8/7/2026, 7:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Independiente F.b.c. are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Resistencia are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Power ratings are near level at 50.1 against 50.2. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Division Intermedia, favouring a draw with 14.5% confidence, a 46% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

31.2%

Model confidence

14.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Independiente F.b.c.DDLDD

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
ResistenciaWWLDL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Independiente F.b.c.Resistencia
48.1Attack38.9
53.7Defence59.3
42.6Form46.3
50.1Power50.2
1.25xG0.99
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