GGOALVIO

Paraguay · Division Intermedia · 7/28/2026, 10:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Independiente F.b.c. · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Independiente F.b.c. are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Deportivo Capiata are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 50.1 against 48.8. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.8% in the Division Intermedia, while Independiente F.b.c. holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Independiente F.b.c.

Probability

42.8%

Model confidence

13.8%

Independiente F.b.c. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Independiente F.b.c.LDDLW

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Deportivo CapiataDLDWD

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Independiente F.b.c.Deportivo Capiata
48.1Attack44.4
53.7Defence53.7
42.6Form42.6
50.1Power48.8
1.43xG1.12
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