GGOALVIO

Paraguay · Division Intermedia · 6/30/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Benjamín Aceval · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Independiente F.b.c. are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Benjamín Aceval are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Benjamín Aceval hold an 11.5-point power-rating edge (50.1 v 61.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.2% in the Division Intermedia, while Benjamín Aceval holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Benjamín Aceval

Probability

42.2%

Model confidence

42.2%

Benjamín Aceval has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Independiente F.b.c.WLWLD

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Benjamín AcevalWLWWW

GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Independiente F.b.c.Benjamín Aceval
48.1Attack52.6
53.7Defence66.7
42.6Form61.4
50.1Power61.7
0.99xG1.38
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