GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro · 7/22/2026, 9:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Independiente del Valle · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Independiente del Valle are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Tecnico Universitario are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente del Valle hold a 36.6-point power-rating edge (78.3 v 41.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 78.0% in the Liga Pro, while Independiente del Valle holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Independiente del Valle

Probability

78.0%

Model confidence

78.0%

Independiente del Valle has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Independiente del ValleWWWWW

GF 19 · GA 2 · avg 3.80/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Tecnico UniversitarioLLLWW

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Independiente del ValleTecnico Universitario
81.3Attack27.8
68.0Defence55.6
85.3Form36.1
78.3Power41.6
2.40xG0.43
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