GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro · 7/4/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Independiente del Valle · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Independiente del Valle are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Manta FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente del Valle hold a 42.9-point power-rating edge (78.3 v 35.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 77.5% in the Liga Pro, while Independiente del Valle holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Independiente del Valle

Probability

77.5%

Model confidence

77.5%

Independiente del Valle has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Independiente del ValleWWLWW

GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Manta FCWLDDL

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Independiente del ValleManta FC
81.3Attack15.3
68.0Defence58.3
85.3Form23.6
78.3Power35.4
2.27xG0.39
View match centre →