Independiente del Vallevs
Manta FC
COMPLETEDEcuador · Liga Pro · 7/4/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Independiente del Valle · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
Independiente del Valle are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Manta FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente del Valle hold a 42.9-point power-rating edge (78.3 v 35.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 77.5% in the Liga Pro, while Independiente del Valle holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Independiente del Valle
Probability
77.5%
Model confidence
77.5%
Independiente del Valle has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00