Independiente del Vallevs
Libertad Asuncion
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Libertadores · 5/20/2026, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Independiente del Valle are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Libertad Asuncion are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Libertad Asuncion hold a 7.1-point power-rating edge (45.2 v 52.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.8% in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60