GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Libertadores · 5/20/2026, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Independiente del Valle are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Libertad Asuncion are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Libertad Asuncion hold a 7.1-point power-rating edge (45.2 v 52.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.8% in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.8%

Model confidence

39.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Independiente del ValleWWLWW

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Libertad AsuncionLLLLW

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Independiente del ValleLibertad Asuncion
44.4Attack29.2
38.9Defence75.0
44.4Form45.8
45.2Power52.3
0.81xG0.98
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