Independiente del Vallevs
Libertad
COMPLETEDEcuador · Liga Pro · 5/23/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Independiente del Valle · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
Independiente del Valle are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Libertad are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente del Valle hold a 27.9-point power-rating edge (78.3 v 50.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.8% in the Liga Pro, while Independiente del Valle holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Independiente del Valle
Probability
66.8%
Model confidence
66.8%
Independiente del Valle has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60