GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro · 5/23/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Independiente del Valle · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Independiente del Valle are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Libertad are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente del Valle hold a 27.9-point power-rating edge (78.3 v 50.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.8% in the Liga Pro, while Independiente del Valle holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Independiente del Valle

Probability

66.8%

Model confidence

66.8%

Independiente del Valle has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Independiente del ValleWWWLW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
LibertadDLDWL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Independiente del ValleLibertad
81.3Attack36.1
68.0Defence62.5
85.3Form45.8
78.3Power50.3
1.97xG0.58
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