GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro · 4/19/2026, 8:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Independiente del Valle · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Independiente del Valle are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while LDU de Quito are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente del Valle hold a 25.5-point power-rating edge (78.3 v 52.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.2% in the Liga Pro, while Independiente del Valle holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Independiente del Valle

Probability

56.2%

Model confidence

56.2%

Independiente del Valle has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Independiente del ValleWWDWW

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
LDU de QuitoWLWLW

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Independiente del ValleLDU de Quito
81.3Attack31.9
68.0Defence72.2
85.3Form48.6
78.3Power52.8
1.45xG0.52
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