GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro · 7/20/2026, 12:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Independiente del Valle · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Independiente del Valle are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Emelec are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente del Valle hold a 33.5-point power-rating edge (78.3 v 44.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.2% in the Liga Pro, while Independiente del Valle holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Independiente del Valle

Probability

75.4%

Model confidence

18.2%

Independiente del Valle has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Independiente del ValleWWWWW

GF 17 · GA 3 · avg 3.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
EmelecWDDWW

GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 1.20/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Independiente del ValleEmelec
81.3Attack26.4
68.0Defence61.1
85.3Form40.3
78.3Power44.7
2.08xG0.42
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