Independente SPvsSporting Paulinense

Independente SP are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 4.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Sporting Paulinense are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Independente SP hold a 26.6-point power-rating edge (74.1 v 47.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 79.7% in the Paulista Série B, while Independente SP holds the strongest overall chance at 80% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.