GGOALVIO

Brazil · Paulista Série B · 6/20/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Independente SP · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Highconfidence

Independente SP are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Grêmio Catanduvense are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 7.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Independente SP hold a 70.7-point power-rating edge (74.1 v 3.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 95.0% in the Paulista Série B, while Independente SP holds the strongest overall chance at 95% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Independente SP

Probability

95.0%

Model confidence

95.0%

Independente SP has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Independente SPLLWWW

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Grêmio CatanduvenseLLLLL

GF 1 · GA 36 · avg 0.20/7.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 5/5
Independente SPGrêmio Catanduvense
88.2Attack13.3
78.4Defence0.0
76.5Form0.0
74.1Power3.4
4.50xG0.33
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