Independente SPvsAmerica SP

Independente SP are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while America SP are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Independente SP hold a 7.2-point power-rating edge (74.1 v 66.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.5% in the Paulista Série B, while Independente SP holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.