GGOALVIO

Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 5/10/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Independ. Rivadavia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Independ. Rivadavia are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Union Santa Fe are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Independ. Rivadavia hold a 14.7-point power-rating edge (64.2 v 49.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.6% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while Independ. Rivadavia holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Independ. Rivadavia

Probability

54.6%

Model confidence

54.6%

Independ. Rivadavia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Independ. RivadaviaDDWWD

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Union Santa FeDDLLW

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Independ. RivadaviaUnion Santa Fe
55.6Attack47.0
66.7Defence54.5
65.1Form42.4
64.2Power49.5
1.71xG0.82
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