Independ. Rivadaviavs
Sarmiento Junin
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 2/4/2026, 12:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Independ. Rivadavia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Independ. Rivadavia are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Sarmiento Junin are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Independ. Rivadavia hold an 18.3-point power-rating edge (64.2 v 45.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.7% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while Independ. Rivadavia holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Independ. Rivadavia
Probability
61.7%
Model confidence
61.7%
Independ. Rivadavia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80