GGOALVIO

Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 3/23/2026, 1:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Independ. Rivadavia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Independ. Rivadavia are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Rosario Central are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Independ. Rivadavia hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (64.2 v 59.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.3% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while Independ. Rivadavia holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Independ. Rivadavia

Probability

41.3%

Model confidence

41.3%

Independ. Rivadavia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Independ. RivadaviaWLDDW

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Rosario CentralWDWWL

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Independ. RivadaviaRosario Central
55.6Attack42.0
66.7Defence68.1
65.1Form59.4
64.2Power59.0
1.16xG0.76
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