GGOALVIO

Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 3/3/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Independ. Rivadavia are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while River Plate are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Independ. Rivadavia hold a 9.4-point power-rating edge (64.2 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.9% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.9%

Model confidence

39.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Independ. RivadaviaDWLWW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
River PlateWLWLL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Independ. RivadaviaRiver Plate
55.6Attack38.9
66.7Defence72.2
65.1Form50.0
64.2Power54.7
1.03xG0.69
View match centre →